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Free, publicly-accessible full text available July 1, 2026
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This study’s objective is to better specify the rare occurrence of super equatorial plasma bubbles in particular to the European longitude sector, detailing their spatio-temporal evolution, and better understanding pre-conditions for their development. Our comprehensive multi-instrument analysis combined ground-based and space observations from GNSS, ionosondes, and several satellite missions (COSMIC-2, GOLD, Swarm). We have investigated the ionospheric response to the 23–24 April 2023 severe geomagnetic storm and have shown the formation of super plasma bubbles expanding from equatorial latitudes to middle latitudes in the European/African sector during the main phase of the storm. Formation of these super bubbles was associated with storm-induced prompt penetration electric fields. We found that the area affected by the formation of numerous plasma bubbles covered more than 5000 km ranging from 30°W to 30°E in the Atlantic/African sector. The bubbles also had an impressive north-south extension, reaching as far poleward as ~30°–35° latitude in both hemispheres. After 20 UT on 23 April 2023, the zone with equatorial ionospheric irregularities reached Northern Africa, the Iberian Peninsula (Spain, Portugal) and the Mediterranean Sea in southern Europe, including areas of the Canary Islands (Spain) and the Azores and Madeira Islands (Portugal) in the Atlantic Ocean. The ionospheric irregularities persisted for 5–6 h and began to fade after ~01 UT on 24 April 2023. COSMIC-2 scintillation measurements showed intense amplitude scintillations (S4 above 0.8) across this entire region, indicating presence of small-scale ionospheric irregularities inside the extended plasma bubbles. During this storm, EGNOS (European Geostationary Navigation Overlay Service) experienced degraded performance, with significant navigation errors recorded at its southernmost stations in Northern Africa, Spain, Portugal, and their territories, which were affected by super plasma bubbles. This paper presents conclusive observational evidence showing development of the super plasma bubbles significantly expanding into the southern Europe and northern Africa region under geomagnetically disturbed conditions in April 2023.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available January 1, 2026
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Abstract The space weather event on 10–11 May 2024 was a high‐impact geomagnetic storm, resulting in a SYM‐H index decrease to −518 nT, the lowest level registered in several decades. We investigated the response of the Earth's ionosphere during the main phase of this storm using a comprehensive data set of ionospheric observations (in situ plasma density and/or Total Electron Content (TEC)) from twenty Low‐Earth‐Orbit satellites such as COSMIC‐2, Swarm, GRACE‐FO, Spire, DMSP, and Jason‐3, orbiting at altitudes between 320 and 1,330 km. We found that ionospheric response followed a classical development pattern with the largest positive effects occurred at low and middle latitudes in daytime and evening sectors, associated with significant intensification of the Equatorial Ionization Anomaly (EIA) by the super fountain effect. The greatest effects occurred in the Pacific and American longitudinal sectors, which were in daylight, between 19 and 24 UT on 10 May 2024. This time overlaps with a period of steady southward IMF Bz and favorable conditions for long‐lasting penetration electric fields. The EIA crest‐to‐crest separation expanded to 40–60° in latitude with the largest poleward excursion of the crest to ∼27° magnetic latitude. The extreme EIA expansion with crest separation up to 60° in latitude along with a giant plasma bite‐out near the magnetic equator were observed in the dusk/evening sector over South America. The ground‐based TEC showed an enhancement up to ∼200 TECU, while satellites detected an increase in topside TEC up to ∼100–155 TECU, indicating key contribution of the topside ionosphere into the ground‐based TEC.more » « less
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This paper describes, along with some validation results, the one-dimensional variational method (1D-Var) that is in use at the University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR) to retrieve atmospheric profiles of temperature, pressure, and humidity from the observation of the Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) radio occultation (RO). The retrieved profiles are physically consistent among the variables and statistically optimal as regards to a priori error statistics. Tests with idealized data demonstrate that the 1D-Var is highly effective in spreading the observational information and confirm that the method works as designed and expected, provided that correct input data are given. Tests for real-world data sets show that the retrieved profiles agree remarkably well with global weather analyses and collocated high vertical resolution radiosonde observations, and that the 1D-Var can produce value-added retrievals with respect to a priori profiles. We also find that the retrieved profiles are of exceptional long-term stability, suggesting that the 1D-Var can provide an excellent climate data record.more » « less
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Abstract Superrefraction at the top of the atmospheric boundary layer introduces problems for assimilation of radio occultation data in weather models. A method of detection of superrefraction by spectral analysis of deep radio occultation signals introduced earlier has been tested using 2 years of COSMIC-2/FORMOSAT-7 radio occultation data. Our analysis shows a significant dependence of the probability of detection of superrefraction on the signal-to-noise ratio, which results in a certain sampling nonuniformity. Despite this nonuniformity, the results are consistent with the known global distribution of superrefraction (mainly over the subtropical oceans) and show some additional features and seasonal variations. Comparisons to the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts analyses and limited set of radiosondes show reasonable agreement. Being an independent measurement, detection of superrefraction from deep radio occultation signals is complementary to its prediction by atmospheric models and thus should be useful for assimilation of radio occultation data in the atmospheric boundary layer.more » « less
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